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    降準逆回購雙雙登場 節前“投放季”正式到來
    作者:中國板報網    來源:www.cqrgzs.com    點擊數:    更新時間:2019/1/24

      盡管2019年首次降準今日實施,預計可釋放長期資金數千億元,但央行仍通過公開市場逆回購操作繼續投放短期流動性。15日,央行連續第二日開展逆回購操作,操作力度進一步加大。市場人士指出,1月下半月,預計央行還會實施一系列的流動性操作,春節前的“投放季”已正式到來。

      據悉,央行15日開展了800億元7天期和1000億元28天期逆回購操作,逆回購交易量較上一日增加800億元。14日,央行重啟了公開市場操作,當次開展了800億元7天期和200億元28天期逆回購操作,在對沖到期逆回購之后實現凈投放200億元。數據顯示,15日沒有央行逆回購到期,有3900億元MLF到期,央行已通過降準進行置換。

      根據央行先前公布的安排,1月第一次降準在今日實施,預計可釋放流動性7000億元左右,足以覆蓋3900億元的MLF到期回籠量。不過,15日是本月納稅申報截至日,按以往經驗看也是本月稅期高峰日,稅款集中清繳入庫對短期流動性供求造成的影響不容小覷。降準凈釋放的資金量,應無法完全對沖稅期因素影響,流動性供求的缺口需要央行通過其他操作來填補。這正是央行于14日重啟逆回購操作的主要原因之一。

      值得一提的是,在停做數月之后,央行重啟了28天期逆回購操作,提前投放跨春節資金的意圖明顯。今日28天期逆回購操作量進一步放大,預計隨著稅期高峰過去,28天期逆回購將成為春節前央行逆回購操作的主要品種。

      到本周后半周,稅期因素影響將有所減輕,但春節因素的影響將開始顯現,央行大概率仍將繼續通過多種手段和工具組合提供必要的流動性支持。從已知信息來看,1月25日還有一次0.5個百分點的降準,TMLF和普惠金融定向降準動態考核也很可能在1月中下旬實施。春節前,央行繼續通過公開市場操作投放適量流動性的可能性也不小。

      可以說,春節前的“投放季”才剛剛開始。


    (文章來源:中證網)

    降準逆回購雙雙登場 節前“投放季”正式到來

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